Target Center, Minneapolis, MN – December 6, 2023 – 7:30 PM ET

The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-4) will welcome the San Antonio Spurs (3-16) to Target Center on Wednesday night for a matchup of two teams heading in opposite directions. The Timberwolves have been one of the surprises of the NBA season so far, while the Spurs are struggling to find their footing in the Western Conference after starting the season 3-2 with back to back wins against the KD-led Suns.

Betting Odds

  • Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves -12
  • Over/Under: 227.5

Top 5 Successful NBA Betting Models

  • FiveThirtyEight: Minnesota Timberwolves 115, San Antonio Spurs 104
  • ESPN: Minnesota Timberwolves 113, San Antonio Spurs 106
  • Basketball Reference: Minnesota Timberwolves 112, San Antonio Spurs 108
  • BSports: Minnesota Timberwolves 114, San Antonio Spurs 107
  • Sharp Betting: Minnesota Timberwolves 116, San Antonio Spurs 105

BetQL and Sportsline Predictions

  • BetQL: Minnesota Timberwolves 117, San Antonio Spurs 103
  • Sportsline: Minnesota Timberwolves 115, San Antonio Spurs 105

Average Prediction: 114.43 – 105.29

Pythagorean Theorem Prediction: 114.72 – 105.28

Strength of Schedule Prediction: 115.13 – 104.87

Final Prediction: 115-108

Value Bet: San Antonio Spurs +12

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been one of the surprises of the NBA season so far. They currently have the best record in the league at 15-4 and are looking to improve to 10-1 on their home court. The Timberwolves have been successful due to their balanced scoring attack and strong defense. They are led by Anthony Edwards, who is averaging 26.2 points per game, and Rudy Gobert, who is averaging 15.0 points and 14.0 rebounds per game. The Timberwolves will be looking to extend their winning streak to five games when they host the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday night.

  • 1st in the West
  • 9-1 Home Record
  • 18th Offensive Rating
  • 1st Defensive Rating
  • 4th Net Rating

San Antonio Spurs

The San Antonio Spurs are currently on a 14-game losing streak, which is the longest losing streak in the NBA this season. The Spurs have struggled to score points and have been a below-average defensive team. They are led by Victor Wembanyama, who is averaging 19.3 points and 9.7 rebounds per game. The Spurs will be looking to snap their losing streak when they face the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night.

  • Last in the West
  • 2-7 Away Record
  • 28th Offensive Rating
  • 27th Defensive Rating
  • Last in Net Rating


Based on the analysis of the betting models, Pythagorean theorem, strength of schedule, key factors, and additional considerations, it is predicted that the Minnesota Timberwolves will win the game against the San Antonio Spurs.

Score Prediction: 115-108 | Timberwolves Win 

While the Minnesota Timberwolves are the clear favorites in this game, there are a few reasons why the San Antonio Spurs could cover the point spread and make it a close match. Of course, the Timberwolves are still the better team in this matchup, and they are likely to win the game. However, the Spurs are hungry to snap their losing streak and what better way to end it than against the number 1 team in the whole NBA.


PICK: San Antonio +12

O/U: Under 227.5