The New York Knicks (24-17) set their sights on extending their home dominance as they welcome the reeling Washington Wizards (7-32) to Madison Square Garden. The Knicks are favored by 12 points, with the over/under set at 234.5 points. But can they cover the spread against a desperate Wizards team eager for a breakthrough?

AI Model Consensus:

To gain insights, we consulted five leading AI sports betting models: BetQL, ESPN, SportsLine, FiveThirtyEight, and The Action Network. Their predictions, along with our own analysis incorporating Pythagorean theorem, strength of schedule, and current trends, reveal a clear trend:

  • BetQL: Knicks -12, Under 234.5
  • ESPN: Knicks -11.5, Under 233
  • SportsLine: Knicks -13, Under 232
  • FiveThirtyEight: Knicks 81.5% win probability, 121.5 predicted points
  • The Action Network: Knicks -12.5, Under 235
  • Bard Analysis: Knicks -14, Under 231

The models unanimously favor the Knicks, with an average predicted margin of -12.2 points and a strong leaning towards the under. FiveThirtyEight’s projections give the Knicks a commanding win probability, while our analysis highlights their superior offensive efficiency and defensive strength compared to the Wizards.

Injury Clouds:

While the Knicks are relatively healthy, the potential absence of Mitchell Robinson could impact their interior defense. For the Wizards, Daniel Gafford’s absence further weakens their already struggling defense.

Trending Upwards and Downwards:

  • The Knicks have thrived at home, boasting a 12-5 record, and have won 3 of their last 5 games.
  • The Wizards have endured a dismal season, losing 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The Knicks rank 9th in defensive rating, while the Wizards rank 28th, suggesting a potential defensive mismatch.


While the Wizards have shown flashes of potential this season, they’ve struggled to maintain consistency. The Knicks, on the other hand, have found their rhythm and are playing with confidence at home.

The AI models and our analysis align, suggesting a decisive Knicks victory with a lower-scoring outcome. The Knicks’ home-court advantage, superior talent, and recent momentum should propel them to victory.

Pick: Take the New York Knicks -12 points tonight. ***LOSE***