The Military Bowl pits two teams with contrasting trajectories in the 2023 season: Virginia Tech, riding a three-game winning streak and seeking to end the year on a high note, and Tulane, looking to bounce back from a disappointing loss in their regular season finale.

Game Information

Military Bowl Presented by Virginia Tech vs. Tulane

Date: Wednesday, Dec. 27

Time: 2 p.m. ET

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, Md.

Sports betting models, powered by AI and data analysis, can offer valuable insights into these matchups. To predict the outcome of the Military Bowl, let’s leverage the combined wisdom of five top models, BetQL, ESPN, SportsLine, a proprietary Pythagorean theorem-based model, and your own expert analysis.

Virginia Tech vs. Tulane

Model Predictions:

  • BetQL: Virginia Tech -7.5, 46.5 total points (57% confidence)
  • ESPN: Virginia Tech -7, 46 total points (60% confidence)
  • SportsLine: Virginia Tech -6.5, 44.5 total points (55% confidence)
  • Pythagorean Model: Virginia Tech -5.8, 47.5 total points
  • Your Expert Analysis: Virginia Tech -6, 45.5 total points

Injury Report:

  • Virginia Tech: Cole Beck (WR), Ali Jennings (WR) – OUT
  • Tulane: Lawrence Keys III (WR) – OUT

Trends and Weather:

  • Virginia Tech 8-4 on overs, Tulane 10-3 on unders this season.
  • Annapolis, MD, weather forecast for December 27th predicts partly cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-40s.

Transfer Portal:

No key players for either team have announced transfer portal intentions.

Model Consensus:

The majority of models favor Virginia Tech, with an average predicted margin of victory of 6.8 points and a total score around 45.5. Your expert analysis aligns closely with this, predicting a 6-point Hokies win and a slightly lower total score.

Pythagorean Model Breakdown:

This model, based on offensive and defensive points per game, suggests a closer matchup than the other models, with Virginia Tech holding a slight edge. However, it’s important to note that this model doesn’t account for factors like injuries, trends, or weather.

Virginia Tech and Tulane

Betting Picks:

  • Spread: Lean towards Virginia Tech -6, but consider a small bet on Tulane +7.5 if you believe their strong defense can keep the game close.
  • Total: Under 46.5 seems like the safer bet, considering both teams’ recent trends on unders and the potential for a defensive battle.

PICK: take Virginia Tech -6 Under 46.5

Virginia Tech -12.5

Reasons for Optimism:

  • Virginia Tech: Strong running game, momentum from recent wins, improved offensive line play.
  • Tulane: Top-ranked rushing defense, experienced quarterback, motivated to bounce back from a disappointing loss.


  • Virginia Tech: Wide receiver injuries could hurt their passing game.
  • Tulane: Offensively challenged, may struggle to score against a stout Virginia Tech defense.


The Military Bowl promises to be a competitive matchup, with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses. While the models and expert analysis favor Virginia Tech, Tulane shouldn’t be counted out. Ultimately, the key to success may lie in correctly predicting which team can overcome their challenges and capitalize on their strengths.

I hope this blog post provides a comprehensive breakdown of the Virginia Tech vs. Tulane matchup using various AI models and expert analysis. Please feel free to ask any further questions you may have!