Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers odds
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The Memphis Grizzlies are scheduled to play a non-conference matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers on Thursday.
The Grizzlies are 32-19 after losing to the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday. The record is good enough for the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, making Memphis a legitimate threat to the title.
The Cavaliers are also aiming to reach the NBA Finals, but are fifth in the Eastern Conference with a 31-22 record.
Here are the odds and predictions for the Memphis Grizzlies vs Cleveland Cavaliers matchup.
The Memphis Grizzlies are the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, but they’re not doing as well as their seed suggests.
For example, the Grizzlies played Wednesday night against the Portland Trail Blazers. In this game, he lost 122-112 as he went 38-22 in the fourth quarter. The loss was his sixth loss in the last seven games for Memphis.
During that seven-game period, Memphis struggled tremendously on the offensive side. In the 2022-23 season, the Grizzlies posted his offensive rating of 113.9, but that figure has dropped to his 108.4 over the past seven games. The main culprit was Memphis’ failure to establish an offensive presence on the perimeter. The Grizzlies, same he’s only shot 28.9% from 3 in seven games.
The absence of Stephen Adams also played a big part in the demise of the Grizzlies. Adams has missed the last four games the Grizzlies trailed by -34 points, and Memphis also saw his defensive rating rise to 113.5 from his 109.9 in the meantime.
January was an up-and-down month for Cleveland, and the final game against Miami was arguably the low point.
Against the Heat, the Cavaliers scored just 97 points, the fifth time they were held below 103 points in January. The biggest reason for the low offensive output in that game was the inability to shoot from deep or on the line. I did 6 of them.
However, these inefficiencies were far less common for Cleveland. I was one of the team.
Cleveland shot 49.1% from the floor in January, a percentage that ranked in the top 10 for the month. This made the Cavaliers record his offensive his rating of 115.7, a slight improvement from his 114.2 season rating.
Cleveland also played some great basketball on their home court in January, going 5-2 overall with a +7.2 net rating. That rating ranked him No. 6 in his NBA last month, and shows why the Cavaliers are considered the most likely contender in the East.
Overall, two teams suffered heavy losses, but I think Cleveland is more likely to bounce back this time.
Adams’ absence is a significant issue and I think it will continue to be a major factor. Memphis is just 4-5 without Adams, and in those games he has posted a defensive his rating of 113.5 (according to StatMuse). This leaves Memphis vulnerable in the middle of the floor and could pose a problem against a Cavaliers team that is averaging 51.0 points per game in the paint.
Additionally, Cleveland has one of the best internal defenses in the league, with opponents scoring the third-lowest points per game (45.9) in the paint. It would already be difficult for Memphis to score on the inside, but removing Adams from the picture makes it even harder.
Back up the Cavaliers to cover the spread at home. I like the spread to 5.
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