On Monday Night Football, two of the NFL’s top quarterbacks, Joe Burrow and Cincinnati Bengals hosts Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills, are brightly lit. The Bills (12-3) have won six in a row, winning the AFC East, but will face the Bengals, who have won seven in a row. The Bengals (11-4) need to close out with his two wins, and Kansas City need him one to clinch the top seed. Both teams were victorious in Week 16, with the Bills beating Chicago 35-13 and the Bengals beating New England 22-18.
Kickoff is set for 8:30 PM ET at Peycoe Stadium in Cincinnati. The Caesars Sportsbook lists Buffalo as his 1-point favorite in his latest Bills vs. Bengals odds, but he’s 49.5 over/under in total points earned. Before finalizing the Bengals vs. Bills pick, check out his NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer models.
This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has earned well over $7,000 for a $100 player on the highest-rated NFL pick since its inception. This model enters Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 158-113 run in the highest-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season.
The model has ranked in NFLPickWatch’s top 10 NFL picks over the past six years, beating out over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that period. Anyone who followed it is on top.
The model now has its sights set on the Bills vs. Bengals, fixing picks and MNF predictions. Visit SportsLine today to see our model recommendations. Here are the Bengals vs. Bills NFL odds and betting lines and trends:
- Bills vs. Bengals Spread: Buffalo -1
- Bills vs. Bengals Over/Under: 49.5 points
- Bills vs. Bengals moneyline: Buffalo -115, Cincinnati -105
- BUF: Bills is 52-42-7 ATS (56%) with coach Sean McDermott (2017 onwards)
- CIN: Bengals 41-25-2 ATS (62%) with coach Zach Taylor (2019 onwards)
- Bills vs. Bengals Picks: See Picks at SportsLine
Featured games | | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills
Why bills can cover
Buffalo is 7-7-1 against the spread this season, but has a 6-3-1 ATS in non-division games. All three of his losses in Buffalo are four points or less. Allen leads the offense second in total yards (402 per game) and fourth in scoring (28 points per game). The fifth-year quarterback has 4,029 passing yards and 746 rushing his yards, accounting for 39 touchdowns. He has a big receiver in Stefon Diggs who is third in the league with 1,325 yards and 10 TDs. Cincinnati’s defense ranks him 21st against passes (226 yards per game) and his fourth-lowest number of sacks in the league (26).
The bill should be no problem with expanding the drive. They convert on third down more than 50% of the time he does, the best in the NFL, but Cincinnati allows almost 40% (19th) of the time to convert. Buffalo’s run defense is his 4th best in the NFL (104 YPG), and the Bengals are 29th in rushing (98 YPG). See which side you go back to here.
Why the Bengals Can Cover
Cincinnati is the NFL’s best team against the spread, going 12-3 this season and 20-3 in its last 23 games. Burrow was his second in the NFL in both passing yards (4,260) and touchdown passes (34), and the return of Jammer Chase made a big difference. His sophomore wideout totaled 960 yards and he has eight TDs despite missing four games. He has 32 catches for 355 yards in four games since his return. Tee Higgins (1,022 yards) and Tyler Boyd (711 yards) thrived in Chase’s absence. Running back Joe Mixon ranks third on the team with 55 receptions for 1,187 total yards.
The underdogs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings, with the Bengals scoring 26 points per game (6th in the NFL) and allowing 20 (9th). The Bengals are tied for sixth-lowest turnovers (17) with his plus-3 turnover margin. The Bills are even in sales margins, but he has 24 deals, the second most in the NFL. See which side you go back to here.
How to make a Bengals vs. Bills pick
SportsLine’s model predicts a total of 50 total points. The model also shows that one side of the spread hits him more than 50% of the time. His MNF picks for this model can only be seen on SportsLine.
So who will win the Bengals vs. Bills? And which side of the spread will hit more than 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to jump on which side of the Bills vs. Bengals spread. Please check if there is All from NFL crushed picks models.