Regardless of playing on an offense that switched quarterbacks a number of times during the routine season, Allen Robinson put up elite numbers in 2020. If Robinson truly is a terrific gamer stuck on a typical team, you would anticipate him to carry out well on this metric. As you can see, Robinsons weekly grades routinely remained around the league average. If the Bears are preparing a soft reconstruct with Allen Robinson as a considerable piece, franchise tagging him makes good sense. No matter what the Bears decide to do with their star WR, it will be intriguing to see how Robinson brings out next season.
It is a wonderful offseason for NFL teams intending to sign a large receiver in absolutely complimentary agency. With huge names like Chris Godwin, Will Fuller, and JuJu Smith-Schuster all possibly striking totally complimentary agency, NFL front work environments have a bunch of choices. Maybe the most interesting scenario is that of the Chicago Bears, who are confronted with a difficult option — — — — franchise tag star WR Allen Robinson or let him play for a brand-new group next season
? Robinsons box ranking and advanced metrics notify different stories
Regardless of playing on an offense that switched quarterbacks numerous times throughout the regular season, Allen Robinson set up elite numbers in 2020. In overall, he caught 102 passes for 1,250 backyards and 6 goals. However, those statistics dont inform the full story of his season. To explain what I suggest by that, well require to take a look at Robinsons Offensive Value Metric (OVM) grade.
The OVM is a grading system produced by the (Bx) Movement to examine gamers based upon just how much they contribute to their offenses success. If Robinson really is a terrific player stuck on an average team, you would expect him to carry out well on this metric. Unfortunately, the truth of the scenario isnt so positive.
Allen Robinsons OVM grade is lower than you would expect
During the 2020 routine season, Robinson earned an overall OVM grade of 30.62. While that is his highest grade in the last five years, it still ranks listed below the middle amongst all certifying pass receivers in 2020.
Naturally, a few of those players have significantly various sample sizes. Robinsons position on that list indicates that the Bears WR was just a typical aspect to his offense in 2020.
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For a more particular representation of this reality, look at the chart below. It shows his weekly grades, represented by black dots, compared to the regular season average for pass receivers, represented by the yellow line.
As you can see, Robinsons weekly grades regularly stayed around the league average. For lots of pass receivers, this level of contribution would be excellent. You would expect him to play a more prominent function in the offense for a player as well-regarded as Robinson.
The innovative metrics do not paint Allen Robinsons play in the very best light
To comprehend why Robinsons OVM grade is so low, we need to take a look at the metrics associated with calculating a pass receivers grade. On the majority of them, the Bears WRs efficiency was even worse than you might expect.
His catch part of 67.55% was just a little above average, and he just averaged 3.6 backyards after the catch, which ranked well listed below the middle amongst all certifying pass receivers.
Robinsons main battle remained in his failure to get open. When targeted, he was approximately 2.3 backyards from the closest protector. That average was gotten in touch with numerous other gamers for the sixth-lowest amount of separation among all licensing pass receivers.
He was used a lower quantity of cushion (5.6 backyards) than the typical large receiver, in fairness to Robinson. That is an incredibly low amount of separation for a top-tier WR.
Allen Robinson is proficient however not best
Robinson is a skilled expert athlete who makes some incredible plays. And even when he does have the ball in his hands, he does not produce additional yards after the catch.
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All of those are essential abilities for a large receiver. The primary advantage Robinson has more than most gamers at his position is his ability to make objected to catches. An elite WR requires to master more places than one.
Should the Bears franchise tag Allen Robinson?
All of these information bring us to the choice dealt with by the Bears this offseason — — — — franchise tag Robinson or let him go? On the one hand, the info reveals that Robinson was just offering normal value last season.
Tom Bradys OVM grade increased by more than 10 points when he left New England. If the Bears are preparing a soft rebuild with Allen Robinson as a significant piece, franchise tagging him makes good sense.
No matter what the Bears decide to do with their star WR, it will be appealing to see how Robinson performs next season. He is plainly a gifted gamer, and he has had a strong profession up until now in spite of using bad offenses. Possibly his best is still to come. Still, whichever group he winds up betting will need to be familiar with his restrictions.
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Lucas Ellinas is an author for Pro Football Network. You can follow him on Twitter @Lucas_Ellinas.