No. 5 BALTIMORE RAVENS @ No. 4 TENNESSEE TITANS FREE PICK
Because Week 11 video game, Baltimore turned the ball over 3 times and missed on four fourth-down conversion attempts. Its quite simple to see what the Ravens require to do this weekend in order to win.
The two teams then fulfilled in Week 11, once again in Baltimore. When a Jackson turnover moved the video games momentum in favor of the Titans, the Ravens were a six-point favorite and led 21-10 in the 3rd quarter. Tennessee went on to win 30-24.
With the going to Ravens laying three points, whether they win or lose is not the issue for bettors. The problem is finding betting value.
The top 2 rushing offenses in the NFL will square off on Wild Card weekend as the fifth-seeded Baltimore Ravens seek to avenge two successive losses to the No. 4 Tennessee Titans. This might finally be the time reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson gets his first playoff win. There might not be a hotter group than Baltimore in the NFL today.
The Ravens and Titans havent played all that often (25 times total), however they have played twice in the previous year. In in 2015s playoffs, Baltimore got in as the No. 1 seed. The Ravens lost to Tennessee 28-12 in the house in the divisional playoffs.
Run the Ball
As discussed, these are the leading two rushing offenses in the NFL. The Ravens are No. 1 averaging 191.9 lawns per video game. When he ended up being the very first quarterback to hurry for over 1,000 yards in 2 straight seasons, Jackson set another NFL record.
Rookie J.K. Dobbins balanced 6 yards a bring and end up the routine season with 805 yards. Veteran Gus Edwards included 723 on 144 brings. The Ravens won their last five video games in a row and rushed for at least 150 backyards in each game. They went over 200 in 3 of them.
Derrick Henry led the league in rushing
Baltimore has the much better defense, but they will have to include Henry. In addition to the 133 yards he had against Baltimore in Week 11, he likewise hurried 30 times for 195 backyards in last years championship game.
Tennessee ranks 29th in defensive DVOA and is 30th in pass defense and 15th versus the run. The Titans quit 27.4 points per game and are definitely horrendous in the red zone. Opponents convert 69.2 percent of their trips inside the Titans 20-yard line.
In in 2015s championship game, Baltimore controlled practically every aspect of the game. The Ravens offense put up 530 yards of offense. They simply could not overcome 3 turnovers.
What will likely supply the distinction on Sunday is defense. The Ravens are 2nd in scoring defense permitting 18.9 points per video game for the season. On the other side of the ball, the Titans rank as one of the worst defenses in the NFL.
Tennessees Derrick Henry led the NFL in rushing attempts, backyards, and touchdowns. In the Week 11 video game against Baltimore, Henry ran 28 times for 133 yards.
The Very Best Play
It might be real simple to just take the Ravens -3. They have the better defense and their offense has been very effective over the last 5 weeks. However, Baltimore remained in a comparable spot in last years championship game and they were preferred in Week 11 and lost.
The Ravens were a six-point favorite and led 21-10 in the 3rd quarter when a Jackson turnover shifted the games momentum in favor of the Titans. The Ravens won their last five games in a row and hurried for at least 150 yards in each game. In the Week 11 video game against Baltimore, Henry ran 28 times for 133 backyards. In last years playoff video game, Baltimore controlled nearly every element of the game. Baltimore was in a comparable spot in last years playoff game and they were preferred in Week 11 and lost.
There is likewise the thought of playing the home underdog in a championship game. When you look at Tennessees current record as a house pet, that concept gets compressed. The Titans are 6-22 straight up in their 28 games as a home underdog