Records: MIAMI DOLPHINS (9-5, 11-3 ATS) @ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (7-7, 7-7 ATS) TOTALLY FREE PICK
Miami head coach Brian Flores has done a great task of reversing a Dolphins franchise that has actually been ailing for years. Miami is currently 9-5 and owns the No. 7 seed in the AFC playoffs.
While Miami has done a great job of winning video games this season, they have likewise been great to gamblers. The Dolphins lead the NFL with an 11-3 record against the spread. On Saturday night, they will try to maintain their hold on that last playoff position in the AFC as they travel to Las Vegas.
Back Coach Flores
Miami went 5-4 to close the season. More notably, they kept games close. There was a one-point loss to Washington, a one-point loss to the Jets, and a three-point defeat to Buffalo.
In the first month of last season, the Dolphins were horrible. Miami lost its very first 4 games in 2019 by a combined rating of 163-26. After a bye in Week 5, the Dolphins still had trouble losing their next three prior to the switch turned on.
Since that rough very first month of 2019, the Dolphins under Flores are a very outstanding 20-6 ATS. Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 video games. Despite traveling out west to face the Raiders, Miami is a strong bet as a 3-point favorite in Las Vegas.
Flores, a former assistant for Bill Belichick in New England, was hired by Miami prior to the 2019 season. Last year, the Dolphins required a long time to adapt to Flores, the offense, the defense, and the unique teams.
The Miami Defense
Miami has actually quit the fewest points in the NFL and permits just over 18 points per game. The Dolphins likewise lead the NFL in forced turnovers with 26. Teams that win the turnover battle usually win games. In Miamis last 3 triumphes, the Dolphins defense enabled a combined overall of simply 22 points.
Emmanuel Ogbah leads the Miami pass rush with nine sacks. Colleagues Kyle Van Noy and Jerome Baker each have 6. Cornerback Xavien Howard leads the whole NFL with eight interceptions. The Dolphins do an outstanding task of slowing down opposing offenses. Miami will likely go up Raiders backup quarterback Marcus Mariota this week.
While rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa gets a number of the Dolphins headings, he is not the reason Miami is 9-5. Not to take anything away from Tagovailoa and his development, but the Dolphins are in a position to earn a playoff spot since they play great defense.
Miami Allows a League Low 18 PPG
Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 video games. Despite traveling out west to face the Raiders, Miami is a strong bet as a 3-point favorite in Las Vegas.
Miami will likely go up Raiders backup quarterback Marcus Mariota this week.
Miami has provided up the least points in the NFL and permits just over 18 points per game. In Miamis last 3 victories, the Dolphins defense allowed a combined total of simply 22 points.
Las Vegas could be without beginning quarterback Derek Carr who hurt a groin last week. If thats the case, Mariota will begin. It likely will not matter who is under center for the Raiders. Moving the football and scoring points against Miami is going to be hard no matter what.
Where the genuine issue lies for the Raiders is on defense. A little over a month back, the Raiders were 6-3 and appeared headed toward a possible playoff berth. Considering That, Las Vegas is 1-4 and the defense has actually imploded.
To make matters worse, the Raiders might be without DE Clelin Ferrell, CB Damon Arnette, and POUND Nick Morrow.
The bigger question is whether novice WR Henry Ruggs III will be back. Ruggs provides either quarterback the ability to stretch the field with his speed. Ruggs is on the reserve/COVID -19 list and is expected to go back to the team facility by the end of the week. His status for Saturday night is still to be figured out.
This game in fact opened with the Raiders as a 1.5-point favorite at leading online sportsbooks. The line quickly jumped in favor of the Dolphins as 2.5-point favorites and a lot of sportsbooks now have Miami as a 3-point roadway chalk
In the Raiders last four losses, they have actually provided up 35, 43, 44, and 30 points. For the season, head coach Jon Grudens group allows 30.1 points per video game. That ranks 29th in the NFL. Groups that quit that numerous points simply do not win lots of games in the NFL.
Dolphins O vs. Raiders D.