Records: MIAMI DOLPHINS (9-5, 11-3 ATS) @ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (7-7, 7-7 ATS) TOTALLY FREE PICK
Miami head coach Brian Flores has done a fantastic task of reversing a Dolphins franchise that has actually been ailing for years. Miami is currently 9-5 and owns the No. 7 seed in the AFC playoffs.
While Miami has done a great task of winning video games this season, they have also been great to wagerers. The Dolphins lead the NFL with an 11-3 record against the spread. On Saturday night, they will attempt to keep their hold on that final playoff position in the AFC as they take a trip to Las Vegas.
Back Coach Flores
Since that rough first month of 2019, the Dolphins under Flores are an extremely remarkable 20-6 ATS. Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last ten video games. In spite of taking a trip out west to face the Raiders, Miami is a strong bet as a 3-point favorite in Las Vegas.
Flores, a previous assistant for Bill Belichick in New England, was hired by Miami prior to the 2019 season. Last year, the Dolphins required a long time to get used to Flores, the offense, the defense, and the unique teams.
In the first month of last season, the Dolphins were awful. Miami lost its first 4 games in 2019 by a combined rating of 163-26. After a bye in Week 5, the Dolphins still had trouble losing their next three before the switch turned on.
Miami went 5-4 to close the season. More notably, they kept video games close. There was a one-point loss to Washington, a one-point loss to the Jets, and a three-point defeat to Buffalo.
The Miami Defense
While rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa gets much of the Dolphins headlines, he is not the reason that Miami is 9-5. Not to take anything far from Tagovailoa and his development, but the Dolphins remain in a position to earn a playoff area due to the fact that they play fantastic defense.
To make matters worse, the Raiders might be without DE Clelin Ferrell, CB Damon Arnette, and LB Nick Morrow.
This video game really opened with the Raiders as a 1.5-point favorite at top online sportsbooks. The line rapidly jumped in favor of the Dolphins as 2.5-point favorites and many sportsbooks now have Miami as a 3-point roadway chalk
Las Vegas could be without starting quarterback Derek Carr who hurt a groin recently. If thats the case, Mariota will start. It likely wont matter who is under center for the Raiders. Moving the football and scoring points against Miami is going to be difficult no matter what.
Where the genuine issue lies for the Raiders is on defense. A little over a month ago, the Raiders were 6-3 and appeared headed toward a possible playoff berth. Since, Las Vegas is 1-4 and the defense has actually imploded.
Emmanuel Ogbah leads the Miami pass rush with 9 sacks. Miami will likely go up Raiders backup quarterback Marcus Mariota this week.
Ruggs provides either quarterback the ability to extend the field with his speed. Ruggs is on the reserve/COVID -19 list and is expected to return to the group center by the end of the week.
Miami has actually given up the fewest points in the NFL and enables simply over 18 points per game. In Miamis last 3 victories, the Dolphins defense permitted a combined overall of just 22 points.
Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last ten games. Despite taking a trip out west to deal with the Raiders, Miami is a strong bet as a 3-point favorite in Las Vegas.
Miami has actually provided up the fewest points in the NFL and permits just over 18 points per game. In Miamis last 3 victories, the Dolphins defense enabled a combined overall of just 22 points.
Dolphins O vs. Raiders D.
Miami will likely go up Raiders backup quarterback Marcus Mariota this week.
In the Raiders last four losses, they have quit 35, 43, 44, and 30 points. For the season, head coach Jon Grudens team allows 30.1 points per video game. That ranks 29th in the NFL. Groups that offer up that many points merely do not win many games in the NFL.