Jacksonville Jaguars (1-10, 5-6 ATS) at Minnesota Vikings (5-6, 6-5 ATS) FREE CHOICE
Minnesota has won four of its last 5 games sticking to what has actually worked for head coach Mike Zimmer during his period. The Vikings are playing strong defense, are running the football, and restricting their errors. Ought to that continue, there is no doubt the Vikings will be victorious on Sunday. The question is can they cover the double-digit spread?
The Minnesota Vikings opened as a 9.5-point preferred over Jacksonville this Sunday. That line has actually inched its method approximately -10, but there is still worth in a Minnesota group that is still in line to earn an area in the postseason.
Jags Defensive Woes
To get an idea of how the Jags compare to the remainder of the league, consider their rankings in 4 of the major defensive statistical classifications. The Jags rank 29th in run defense (136.2 ypg), 29th in pass defense (279.5 ), and 31st in total defense permitting offenses a ridiculous 415.6 yards per video game. If not for the Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions, Jacksonville would be last in the one classification that matters most– points enabled. The Jags quit 29.5 points per game, 30th in the NFL.
Its worth keeping in mind that it was the 3rd time in 4 video games that the Jags covered the spread. Jacksonville has actually lost 3 of its last 4 video games by four points or less.
Taking out the blowout loss to the 10-0 Pittsburgh Steelers, the Jags have scored 20 or more points in four straight. Glennon tossed for 235 yards and two goals last week. Running back James Robinson, who is third in the NFL in hurrying with 890 backyards, ran for 128 backyards and a touchdown. That was the fourth time in five video games that Robinson had at least 99 yards rushing. It would take some of the pressure off of Glennon and the passing game if that continues.
The Jags won their season opener and have actually dropped 10 directly. The result was the shooting of basic manager Dave Caldwell, however thats the least of the groups problems. The Jacksonville defense is merely atrocious though they have allowed 27 or fewer points in their last four games. In the previous six, Jacksonville had quit 30 or more.
What to Play?
Minnesota is consistent in how they have played under Zimmer. They do not waste house field advantage and they do not see a drop off in play when they play an inferior, underdog challenger. They likewise stand out in the extremely situation they will be in this Sunday– as a non-divisional house favorite. In such games under Zimmer, Minnesota is 19-7-1 ATS.
Still, a double-digit spread is a hard cover. Minnesotas biggest spread in its last ten games was as a 7-point favorite versus Dallas. They won by three. Despite all of the success of Zimmers groups have actually had against the spread, the very best play for wagerers in Sundays video game is the Totals.
With the point spread now as much as 10 in this video game, playing the Vikings to cover is a difficult sell. If you think about how Minnesota has performed versus the spread under Zimmer, it will make you believe twice.
While Cook has been the feature of the Vikings offense, quarterback Kirk Cousins has actually been playing effectively. Recently, he tossed for 307 backyards and three touchdowns and did so regardless of not having WR Adam Thielen and TE Irv Smith Jr. Thats where Jefferson has actioned in and lived up to his first-round billing.
The Vikings offense has actually been playing well and the Jags, minus the Pittsburgh game, have scored at least 20 points in 4 directly. The Total has actually discussed in five Minnesotas last six video games. The Over has actually also hit in 7 straight Vikings house games and 4 of the last six times that Minnesota has played Jacksonville
Minnesota has got some major momentum heading into Sundays video game. They had to originate from behind to beat Carolina last week conquering 3 fumbles, one of which was returned for a Panthers goal.
Zimmers teams are 66-40-1 ATS because his employing in 2014. Breaking the numbers down even further, Zimmers Vikings are 34-19-1 ATS at home, 38-23-1 ATS when playing as a favorite, and 45-21-1 ATS in video games played beyond the NFC North Division.
Minnesota has won 4 of its last five games sticking with what has worked for head coach Mike Zimmer throughout his tenure. Minnesotas biggest spread in its last ten games was as a 7-point favorite against Dallas. The Vikings offense has been playing well and the Jags, minus the Pittsburgh game, have scored at least 20 points in 4 straight. The Total has actually gone Over in five Minnesotas last 6 games. The Over has actually also hit in seven straight Vikings home video games and four of the last 6 times that Minnesota has played Jacksonville