Last week, the Tigers handled just 7 points in a 20-7 loss to Texas A&M. The week prior, LSU barely beat Arkansas 27-24, and on Halloween the Tigers were beat by Auburn 48-11. Thats 14 points per game over the last 3 trips for the once-prolific LSU offense.
The outcomes have actually been evident. The Tigers are just 3-4 on the season and ready to take one on the chin from their fiercest competitor in the SEC West. The problem for wagerers is that the spread just keeps growing. Do not worry though; there is a serious value play here. You simply need to get on it quickly.
CFB FREE CHOICE: ALABAMA (8-0, 6-2 ATS) @ LSU (3-4, 4-3 ATS).
Unlike a year back, their 2020 matchup with rival LSU is but a blip on the course to that title video game. The Tigers no longer have a Heisman Trophy quarterback in Joe Burrow and lack a slew of first-round NFL draft teases defense.
How to Play Saturdays Game.
It would be the Crimson Tides offending unit if there is an opposite to the LSU offense. Alabama gets exceptional quarterback play from Mac Jones who has actually completed 173-of-227 passes for 2,728 yards and 23 touchdowns. Jones leads an offense that puts up 535.6 overall yards per game and 48.5 points..
Now, LSU heads into face the No. 1 group in the country without its finest receiver, with quarterbacks that total barely 60 percent of their passes, and an offense that was simply 2-of-16 on third down last week. That doesnt summon up much confidence in the Tigers offense.
The Under is 4-0 in Alabamas last 4 sees to Baton Rouge and it is 7-3 in the last ten Alabama-LSU games. The Total has actually gone Under in 4 of LSUs last six games. With a having a hard time LSU offense taking on an excellent Tide defense, dont expect a ton of points from the Tigers
Running game? Najee Harris averages 6 yards a carry and leads the group with 893 yards hurrying. The Tide has those too.
There is no concern Alabama is the much better football team. The offense is going to set up some major points on an LSU defense that gives up over 30 points per game. LSU will be jacked up early playing a competitor in your home, but ultimately skill will take control of.
Then, theres the statement by WR Terrace Marshall Jr. that he is evacuating his cleats and opting out of the remainder of the season. Marshall was the teams No. 1 pass receiver leading the group with 48 catches, 731 yards and 10 goals..
The offense is going to put up some severe points on an LSU defense that surrenders over 30 points per video game. The Total has gone Under in four of LSUs last six video games. With a having a hard time LSU offense going up versus a very good Tide defense, do not anticipate a load of points from the Tigers
LSU is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games as a pet and dont forget they are playing at house on a Saturday night in Baton Rouge.
That leaves one really strong play for bettors approved they can get in quickly. The Total for Saturday nights game opened at an outrageous 74.5 but has been falling since. Currently, the Bama-LSU Total sits at 68 at all leading ranked sportsbooks..
Still, covering four-touchdowns-plus against a rival on the road is a hard one. You aspect in LSU and its recent record versus the spread as an underdog. LSU is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games as a pet and dont forget they are dipping into house on a Saturday night in Baton Rouge.
A year back, the LSU offense was practically unstoppable. They in fact still average 30 points per video game, but over the last three the offense has actually been very pedestrian.
Alabama is 6-2 ATS this season. Even more remarkable is the reality that the Crimson Tide is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when they were double-digit favorites. Dont forget Alabamas 30-point average success margin..
If there is one thing that college football wagerers can be certain of in 2020, it is that Alabama is the very best team in the nation. The Crimson Tide have won all eight of their video games, covered the spread in 6, and are plainly the favorite to win this years College Football Playoff National Championship.
Thats 14 points per game over the last 3 outings for the once-prolific LSU offense.
The Tigers offense is going to struggle. Quarterback Myles Brennan, who leads the group with 1,112 passing yards and 11 touchdowns is out forever. That leaves T.J. Finley (66-of-112, 797 backyards, 4 TDs) or Max Johnson (29-of-46, 285 lawns, 2 TDs) to run the offense. And keep in mind, its an offense that has scored 7, 27, and 11 points in its last three video games.
Alabama has actually scored 41 or more points in all but their season opener, a 38-19 win over Missouri. The Tides margin of victory is a cool 30 points per video game. Thats why the line in Saturdays video game with LSU has approached from -27.5 to -29.5 at many sportsbooks..