NFL Week 13 Opening Lines and Early Value Plays

NFL Week 13 Opening Lines and Early Value Plays

ATL vs NO
PK
NO 3-5
YES (ATL).

PIT -10.5.
YES (WAS). MINUTES vs
JAX.

KC vs DEN.
N/A.
KC -13.
NO.

NO.
TEN vs CLE. TEN -4.
10 -5.5. NO.

Try and beware about betting versus and groups each week. The teams will eventually win and/or cover games. There are wagerers who just bet against Cincy, Jacksonville We actually like Jax this week) and NY Jets weekly. That might work for a while however will generally bite you in the rear end eventually.

If you can), ARZ +3 (buy the half to make +3.5.

Last weeks early line analysis (pick) went 3-4 over all but that is in part due to injury and Covid. Teddy Bridgewater playing in the Vikings game brought that line method down and Denver never ever had a shot once all their QBs were out with Covid. This week we have a handful of video games in which our opening line does not match the official opening line and there may be early value there. There are 4 games where the actual line varies from what we think the line needs to be enough that they are an early play to make. Keep in mind, if the line modifications in the incorrect direction a point or more, it is not an excellent play.

JAX +9.5 (purchase the indicate make +10.5 if you can).

SEA -7.5.
SEA -8.5.
NO.

WAS +10.5.

MIN -7.
MIN -9.5. YES( JAX

November 30, 2020

).
NYJ vs LV.
LV -7. LV -7.5.

ATL +3.5.

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Related.

GB vs PHI.
GB -6.5.
GB -7.
NO.

Recentlys early line analysis (pick) went 3-4 over all but that remains in part due to injury and Covid. Teddy Bridgewater playing in the Vikings video game brought that line method down and Denver never had a shot once all their QBs were out with Covid. The Titans pick was a slam dunk.

CHI vs DET. CHI -3.5.
CHI -3.5.
NO.
ARZ vs LAR.
LAR -1. LAR -3.
YES( ARZ ). SEA vs
NYG.

SF vs BUF. N/A. BUF -2.5. NO. There you have it. There are 4 games where the actual line varies from what we believe the line must be enough that they are an early play to make. Here are those plays. Remember, if the line changes in the incorrect direction a point or more, it is not a great play.

Video game
Our Line
Official Line
Play

MIA vs CIN.
MIA -9.5.
MIA -11.
NO.

NO.
PIT vs WAS
. PIT -7.5.

LAC vs NE.
N/A. LAC -1
.
NO.

This week we have a handful of video games in which our opening line doesnt match the official opening line and there might be early value there. It is very important to remember that wagering a game early in this unusual season can be catastrophic to your bet. There is a 50/50 chance the Covid protocol will really help your bet.

HOU vs IND
.
IND-2. IND -2.5.

DAL vs BALT.
N/A.
N/A. NO.