Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Free Pick

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers Free Pick

The 2 teams will satisfy Sunday night in prime-time television at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. The Packers are looking for their 100th success over their biggest rival. Can they get it? More significantly, can bettors find a value play here?

The Bears rank 10th in the league versus the pass and ninth in total defense. Chicago offers up 20.9 points per game, which is sixth in the NFL. Its that defense that has kept Chicago in video games and given them opportunities to win.

Looking at the previous 5 years in this series, we see video games that are fairly low-scoring. In the very first game last season, the 2 groups battled at Soldier Field with Green Bay pulling out a 10-3 win. The 2nd conference last season didnt include all that much scoring either as the Packers won 21-13 at Lambeau Field.

Scoring History

In those previous 10 games, all however 2 completed with an overall of less than 50 points. The highest-scoring video game in that time period was a 30-27 Green Bay win in Chicago in 2016. The very same holds true of the scoring margins. Just twice has the winner won by double digits. 3 video games were chosen by 7 points and two more by eight.

The leader of the defense is Khalil Mack who has 6.5 sacks therefore far this season. Smith leads the Bears with 15 tackles for loss.

Defense

The Packers have reclaimed ownership of the series having actually won 17 of the past 20 video games. Because the 2010 playoffs when Green Bay beat the Bears 21-14 en route to a Super Bowl title, Chicago has won just three times. The Packers now lead the series 99-95-6.

It started back in 1921. The Bears-Packers competition is the oldest in the NFL. Chicago owned the series for several years even constructing a 24-game benefit in the early 1990s.

Historically, the Bears have constantly been understood for defense. Return to Dick Butkus or Brian Urlacher. Chicago has actually always been developed around its defense. The 2020 season is no different. The only reason the Bears are 5-5 and still alive for a postseason berth is because of the defense.

If the Bears are going to keep Sunday nights video game close, it is going to be the defense that does so.

Bears Offensive Woes

The Key

The issue for Chicago is its offense. It starts with a running video game that ranks dead last in the NFL balancing just 78.2 backyards per game. The passing video game isnt far better ranking in the bottom 3rd of the league.

The other thing to consider is the Bears efficiency under Nagy. When he took control of the Bears task, Nagy led the Bears to a 13-3 record and the NFC North crown. The Bears provided bettors a solid 12-5 mark ATS throughout that very first season.

Simplifying even further, Rodgers shows some severe value in home video games against NFC North opponents. The Green Bay quarterback is 22-12 ATS in such video games.

The key to Sunday nights game– and the choosing factor for wagerers– is Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers. The Packers star has actually just lost to the Bears 4 times in his profession and one of those losses followed he suffered a damaged collarbone.

Given that then though, Nagys Bears have actually not been great to bettors. Chicago is 0-2 directly up and 0-2 ATS with an additional week under Nagy.

Bears head coach Matt Nagy benched starter Mitchell Trubisky early in the season in favor of former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. Foles numbers havent been much better than Trubiskys. The bottom line though is that the Bears just dont score a great deal of points. If not for the New York Jets, the Bears would be the lowest-scoring offense in the NFL. Chicago averages just 19.1 points per game. That will not win a great deal of video games in the NFL.

Rodgers also does very well in video games played versus opponents from the NFC North Division. His career record ATS in those games is 44-26.

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It begins with a running video game that ranks dead last in the NFL averaging just 78.2 yards per game. Chicago averages just 19.1 points per game.

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The highest-scoring video game in that time period was a 30-27 Green Bay win in Chicago in 2016. Chicago offers up 20.9 points per video game, which is 6th in the NFL. Its that defense that has actually kept Chicago in video games and given them possibilities to win.