Some teams do not do so well versus the point spread. This chooses bad teams as well as good teams. The spread, as you may know, is set by Vegas and overseas oddsmakers in order to handicap the video game so that it draws in equal action on both sides of the bet. Numerous elements weigh into producing that last number. Those factors are:
Lots of factors go into a team being horrible against the spread however they all come down to perception. The betting public as well as the oddsmakers poor perception of how good or bad a group actually is, is what causes a team not to cover. The line is a number developed out of thin air. The teams themselves have no interest in covering the point spread.
Some groups do not do so well against the point spread. Some teams are simply infamously bad versus the spread. Terrific teams generally win their games and cover the spread. Numerous aspects go into a team being terrible versus the spread however they all come down to perception. The wagering public as well as the oddsmakers poor perception of how good or bad a group truly is, is what causes a team not to cover.
Overall ability of each group
Health of each team
Place of video game
How each team played in their last outing
Popularity of the team (Large fanbase).
The Raiders are the worst NFL group at covering the spread in current years. Because they just moved there this year, and this certainly has absolutely nothing to do with them being in Las Vegas. Can you image how much even worse their ATS will get now? Actually it is getting better! They are 7-3 ATS up until now in 2020. NFL players are much less most likely to be paid off anyhow. They make sufficient cash where they dont have to stress about “side hustles”.
Excellent teams usually win their video games and cover the spread. Any time the press would ask Bill Belichick about taking it easy in the 2nd half versus a team that he was pounding at half time he would normally react with something like “We scored all these points in the first half, so can they in the 2nd half”.
The last aspect on our list is rarely discussed in sports betting online forums. The truth is, if a team is cherished by a big number of fans, sportsbooks will incorporate that into the line since those fans bet with their heart and not with their brain. , if the group has a long and consistent winning history constant gets incorporated as gaining.
An example of a group having a big dedicated fanbase that normally bets on them blindly are the Nebraska Cornhuskers. This is a group that was a powerhouse every years for years and just fairly just recently has become a bad team. Their fans would bet them and typically win (Nebraska is 132-90 ATS since 2003). It was a double self-confidence booster. Now that they have actually fallen on difficult times they are losing and are not covering spreads. The Huskers have actually gone just 14-25 ATS since 2017 (Worst in the Big Ten). Their fans are not just losing their video games, they are losing their bets.
Some teams are just infamously bad against the spread. UNLV, a team based in Vegas of all locations, is simply 59-151 ATS because 2003. Is this purely coincidence or exists some dubious dealings at play? If you desire to repair a video game, you can only pay a team to play even worse, you can not pay them to play better.