Bucs vs Saints – Brady vs Brees Part Two

Bucs vs Saints – Brady vs Brees Part Two

The Bucs signed complimentary representative WR Antonio Brown last week. Brown was on league suspension and hasnt played in a real football video game in over a year. Or will Brown be a diversion like he was for the Raiders and Steelers the last couple of years?

The New Orleans Saints will be visiting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this weekend– Sunday Night at 8:20 p to be specific. This is the 2nd meeting this season between these 2. There are a great deal of sub-story lines here. Among which is that Brees and Brady keep overtaking one another for the all-time TD record. Entering into the video game Brady leads with 561 and Brees has 560.

The line for this video game opened at Bucs -4 and has actually remained sturdily at that number. You may recall that Brees and the Saints won the first match-up quickly. That rating was 34-23 but wasnt as close as the rating indictated. Brady was still getting used to his brand-new group. The Bucs went on 2 win 6 of their next seven video games after that loss. The Saints went 4-2 after that opening game against the Bucs.

Back in March when the NFL announced the schedule (but whiteout precise dates) sportsbook released early lines (called look ahead lines). We wrote a short article about those lines and used our own forecast based on them. At that time, the early line was TB +1 in the house vs the Saints. A lot has taken place ever since and now TB is favored by 4 points instead of getting 1.

The Saints Dont Win Much on Grass But They Do Cover

The Saints dont play outside much. And when they do, they do not have great success. They are an indoor, artificial yard kind of group. In fact they are simply 1-6 directly in their last 7 games on natural yard. Yikes. Against the spread they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on lawn.

Both groups are coming off uninspired efficiencies. The Saints required OT to beat a flailing Bears team. The Bucs edged out the one-win NY Giants by 2 points. Both the Bucs and the Saints actually require and desire this video game.

Other Notable Trends for Bucs vs Saints

Judging by all the patterns I point out in this post I believe that the wise play is on the Saints getting the points. They cover on lawn and they typically have owned the Bucs (albeit mostly without Brady).

I personally hate betting totals and feel they destroy the game-watching experience. If you like wagering overalls, the over is probably the better play.

New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 video games
New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 video games on the road
New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 video games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-7-2 ATS in its last 11 games in the house
The total has actually gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bays last 10 video games in your home
The overall has actually reviewed in 5 of New Orleanss last 5 video games

Both the Bucs and the Saints actually desire this game and require.

The line for this game opened at Bucs -4 and has actually remained solidly at that number. The Saints went 4-2 after that opening video game versus the Bucs.

They are simply 1-6 directly up in their last 7 games on natural yard. Against the spread they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 video games on yard.